When Can We Anticipate Home Heating Prices to Subside?

With winter weather hitting hard, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the challenge of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a notable rise in energy costs, leaving many searching for answers and relief. Uncover what affects home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and tips to keep your utility bills in check.

Types of Home Heating Fuel

Several fuels are used to keep homes warm and cozy in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil is the fuel used in 5% of homes.
  • Propane accounts for another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels are still the most used source for generating electricity even with the renewed focus on renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Are the Key Influences on the Price of Fossil Fuels?

According to the above information, it’s apparent that fossil fuels heat a great majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the biggest factor driving price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by more production and storage rates—usually lowers prices, while a spike in demand—triggered by severe weather, a flourishing economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to climb.

How Much Have Natural Gas Prices Increased?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, causing a broad price decline through 2018. But, demand has soared recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to reach heights not seen in over a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas hit its highest price since 2008, reaching an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This huge spike represented a major leap of greater than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the sharpest annual increases ever recorded.

Many factors led to the erratic rise and instability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, manufacturing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a large draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other regions, combined with a surge in domestic demand due to cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to fall by 40% following the fire and subsequent closure of the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident considerably cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas into storage. However, as the summer heat faded, prices climbed once again, reaching a peak in late August.

Going into the fall, an increase in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices fall closer to the five-year average. Yet, as temperatures fell, the demand for heating caused prices to rise one more time.

When Will Fuel Rates Go Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices highlight the intricate interplay of factors influencing home heating costs. As we look onward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price trends and the possibility of cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have fallen from their previous highs due to robust production and reasonably moderate temperatures. Even though demand is still steady, forecasters anticipate prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for property owners as we move through the heating season.

Tricks to Cut Your Heating Bill

It doesn’t matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several helpful steps to improve energy efficiency and cut your heating costs. Here are a couple of suggestions:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, opening them during the day for free light and heat and then closing them in the evenings to insulate your windows.
  • Boost attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Invest in a smart thermostat that learns your habits and saves you money.
  • Lower the temperature on your thermostat when you’re out to avoid overheating an empty house.
  • Don warmer clothes indoors so you don’t need to crank up the thermostat.
  • Plan seasonal furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in top shape.
  • Install a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more cozy at a lower temperature.

Bring Comfort Home in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more critical to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and safety. Our services can also help reduce home heating costs, which is great news for your wallet. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect fast, durable answers to all your comfort needs. The assurance of a 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not completely happy with our services, you know we will make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community support, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a meaningful difference in your life and enjoyment in your home. For more information about heating prices in the U.S. or personalized solutions to help reduce your utility bills, get a hold of the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.